That is a very well thought out reply, James. Do tell, what are your thoughts regarding exponential vs linear transmission? Any difference?

Look, here is Trump like two weeks ago talking about how we had 250 cases.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6iImmd4zn40

Now we have over 50K!

You sound like you have a nuanced view of infectious disease and epidemiology, do you think you would be able to into more detail about the ‘total hype’ and ‘load of BS’? The people of Tallahassee need to hear the truth!

H1N1 was linearly transmissible, but COVID is exponentially transmissible. God, this has been discussed like a zillion times in reliable news. Basically you get a doubling of infections every four or five days.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/startswithabang/2020/03/17/why-exponential-growth-is-so-scary-for-the-covid-19-coronavirus/#161c01634e9b

Remember when Trump told us we ‘had’ 240 cases? It was like 2 weeks ago.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6iImmd4zn40

Now we have 52K! Does that sound like how H1N1 went around the country?

It wasn’t shut down because they were very different diseases, both being flu, but differing widely in the ability to infect large numbers of people rapidly.

Were you able to google videos of hallways filled with people in ventilators during H1N1? Do you think that during H1N1 Italy was having 500+ people die a day at any time? Did New York recall 1000 doctors and nurses from retirement to have to deal with H1N1?

Also, people who suffer severe complications from COVID19 often needs ten days (or more) in ICU. Does that sound like H1N1 to you?

I know the narrative that this is all a big scam seems very seductive, or a plot by the media or the new world order, but open your eyes and brain for one second.

Total hype with a load of BS

Let’s take that same 59M number (which is low — most developed countries, CA and NY are expecting 60% of their population to get it).
COVID-19 and say only 1% of the people will die (most estimates are in the 2-7%). That’s 590,000 dead.

50% of the US population, at a 1% death rate, is 1,750,000 deaths. 1% is low, especially when hospitals get run over (which I’d happening around the country already).

Swine Flu had a replication rate along with the seasonal flu around 1.3. That means for every infected person, ten generations later, or 1.3!, about 14 people will be infected from that chain.

SARS-CoV-2 has an accepted replication rate of about 2.6 (which is probably low). 2.6! equals 14,000 infected every time it doubles. NYC is doubling every 2 days. The rest of the country, about 5-6 days.

It also is airborne (Ebola and other viruses are droplet), asymptomatic up to 3 weeks and infectious during that time (typically Flu and other viruses are only infections a day before you are sick thru a few days after). And lives on surfaces for days.

By the way Snidely, Iran has a runaway infection that may kill millions alone there. And at least 10,000,000 cell phones were taken offline in China since Jan. The government forces you to have a phone, this isn’t people who just didn’t pay a bill. That’s how they track you.

The 5th of 8 whistleblower doctors in China just died a few days ago. Young, healthy people, too. Entire families including kids were wiped out.

This ain’t nothing to play with. And the cavalier attitude in FL will kill thousands, tens of thousands more.