The race for Florida governor is essentially tied according to the first public poll conducted after Hurricane Michael. Twenty days before Election Day, Democrat Andrew Gillum is at 47 percent, while Republican Ron DeSantis is at 46. However, among those who say they have already voted, DeSantis is at 49 percent, while Gillum is at 45 percent.
In the race for Florida’s U.S. Senate seat, Republican Rick Scott has a narrow lead over Democrat incumbent Bill Nelson, 49 to 47 percent. Scott is at 50 percent with those who have already voted.
The survey was conducted by St. Pete Polls and first reported by Peter Schorsch of FloridaPolitics.com.
The poll of 1,974 likely Florida general election voters was conducted from October 15, 2018 to October 16, 2018. This poll used the registered voter lists supplied by the state of Florida as of September 12, 2018. The sample of voters that were contacted included random samples of registered voters within the boundaries of the state of Florida.
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents’ demographics and the
demographics of the active general election voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting demographics used were: political party, race, age, gender and media market. The voters polled were chosen at random within the registered voter population within the state of Florida. Voters who said they were not planning to vote were excluded from the results below. The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 1,974 and a 2.2% Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level.