TR has previously written about when to expect and how to measure the impact of the mitigation actions put in place in Florida to stop the spread of the corona virus.
Information from medical experts indicate that the impact of mitigation efforts would be evident in the positive test rates approximately two weeks after the mitigation efforts were put in place.
The table below was constructed using data for the Florida Department of Health to look at the positive test rates of the virus before and after the expected impact of the mitigation efforts.
The assumption is that the expected impact of the mitigation efforts, that began in Florida around March 20th, would be measurable during the first part of April.
Based on this information, the table below compares the positive test rates for Florida and the 25 largest Florida counties up to April 1 (before the impact of mitigation) with the positive test rates reported during the April 2-6 period (expected impact of mitigation).
The analysis shows that the positive test rates in Florida have decreased 1%, 11.4% to 10.4%, during the period from April 2-6 when compared to positive test rates before April 1st.
The analysis shows that 18 of the largest Florida counties have experienced decreases in positive test rates during the period from April 2-6.
Escambia County had the biggest decrease at 6.4% and Collier County had the smallest decrease at 0.5%.
Three of the largest counties in Florida – Orange (2.2%), Hillsborough (2.1), and Pinellas (3.9%)- showed some of the largest declines.
However, seven counties, including Palm Beach and Broward, experienced increases in positive test rates from April 2-6.
TR will update this table on a regular basis.
THE IMPACT OF MITIGATION EFFORTS ON POSITIVE TEST RATES