Provided below are three maps that provide a detailed look at the geographical source of votes for the candidates in the three city commission races.
The information provides details related to the level of support for each candidate by precinct.
Maps are provided by Matthew Isbell, follow him here.
The Matlow-Bellamy Race
Incumbent City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow beat challenger David Bellamy 55.8% to 44.2% in the August primary.
The Matlow-Bellamy map, provided below, resembles the vote distribution of a classic liberal-conservative match-up.
Bellamy secured Republican areas outside of Capital Circle like Ox Bottom, Summerbrooke, Killearn Estates and Southwood.
However, with the notable exception of the Waverly and Woodgate neighborhoods, Bellamy was unable to attract enough voters from traditionally Democrat areas, especially those on the southside.
City Commissioner Dianne Williams-Cox Wins Primary
Incumbent City Commissioner Dianne Williams-Cox was able to overcome two opponents and avoid a runoff by winning 52.2% of the primary vote.
Unlike Bellamy, Dianne Williams-Cox was able to build a coalition between Northeast and southside voters.
The map below shows support for Williams-Cox (green to dark green) in the Northeast. The Northeast coalition included Betton Hills, a neighborhood Matlow won in his race with Bellamy.
The southside areas going strong for Williams-Cox included Jake Gaither, Springsax and Bond neighborhoods. These were neighborhoods that Matlow carried easily.
The inset of the map below – “Cox vs Opposition” – shows the area where her “progressive” opponents garnered the most support. This area is north and east of downtown inside Capital Circle. The neighborhoods in this area include Indian Head Acres, Myers Park and Lafayette Park.
The Tallahassee Mayor Race
Leon County Commissioner Kristin Dozier finished ahead of incumbent Mayor John Dailey with 46.1% of the primary vote. Dailey garnered 45.7% of the vote. Two lesser known candidates – Whitfield Leland and Michael Ibrahim -combined to capture 7.2% of the vote.
Like Marcelin and Green, Dozier was able to secure votes from the “progressive” neighborhoods at a level similar to Matlow’s margins.
Like Williams-Cox, Dailey was able to build a coalition with Northeast and southside voters.
So why didn’t Dailey follow the path to victory like Williams-Cox?
The map inset below – “Votes for Other Candidates” – shows that Daily lost neighborhoods carried by Williams-Cox that were located on the southside of the Florida State University campus in the West Pensacola – Gaines Street corridor.
Dailey also lost neighborhoods – which Williams-Cox carried – north of Tharpe Street and south of I-10.
The inset map below, Votes for Other Candidates, shows that Leland and Ibrahim received a majority of their votes from the areas that Dailey lost but Williams-Cox won.
How these areas vote in the general election will be one of the many factors that will determine who wins between Dailey and Dozier in November.